Research only. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Momentum crashes are not accidents

They are the predictable consequence of crowded positioning, compressed volatility, and sudden regime change. We built this initiative because the academic literature had identified the symptoms but left the diagnosis incomplete. You deserve a clearer picture of when momentum turns from tailwind to trap.

We are a collective of quantitative researchers, data scientists, and former practitioners who study the anatomy of momentum drawdowns. Our work sits at the intersection of rigorous empirical inquiry and the practical realities of navigating markets.

Researchers collaborating on momentum models
Active
Research capital deployed
$2.4M
Live models 12
Data sources 47
Data screens showing momentum research
Drawdown -34%

Largest documented momentum strategy drawdown during the 2009 reversal episode, illustrating the severity of regime-dependent risk

The people behind the research

Our team combines deep experience in quantitative asset pricing, statistical modeling, and market microstructure. We have worked at investment banks, academic institutions, and independent research firms. What unites us is a shared obsession with understanding why momentum strategies occasionally collapse — and how to recognize the warning signs.

Dr. Eleanor Vance

Dr. Eleanor Vance

Lead Research Director

Wellington, New Zealand

Core expertise

Asset pricing anomalies Regime switching models Cross-sectional econometrics Factor risk decomposition

Eleanor spent fifteen years in quantitative research roles before founding this initiative. Her academic work on momentum fragility has been cited in central bank discussions. She directs all research priorities and maintains our university partnerships.

Marcus Chen-Whitmore

Marcus Chen-Whitmore

Senior Data Scientist

Auckland, New Zealand

Core expertise

Machine learning for finance Alternative data integration Natural language processing Signal engineering

Marcus leads our data infrastructure and model implementation. He previously built analytical systems for institutional research departments. His current focus is identifying textual sentiment patterns that precede momentum reversals.

Dr. Priya Nandakumar

Dr. Priya Nandakumar

Risk Analytics Lead

Christchurch, New Zealand

Core expertise

Tail risk modeling Stress testing frameworks Correlation breakdown analysis Drawdown prediction

Priya specializes in the statistical properties of extreme market events. Her doctoral thesis examined correlation structures during crisis periods. She develops the risk metrics that accompany our momentum research outputs.

James Holloway

James Holloway

Research Operations Director

Wellington, New Zealand

Core expertise

Research project management Institutional partnerships Publication strategy Quality assurance

James manages the operational backbone of our research program. He ensures our outputs meet institutional standards for reproducibility and transparency. His background includes editorial roles at finance research publications.

Recognition for advancing momentum research

2024

Best Paper in Asset Pricing

Awarded by the New Zealand Finance Society for our methodological framework identifying pre-crash momentum conditions using cross-sectional positioning data.

2023

Research Transparency Initiative

Recognized by an independent academic consortium for publishing full replication code alongside our momentum fragility indicators.

2023

Institutional Collaboration Prize

Honored for sustained partnership between our research group and university finance departments advancing empirical market microstructure studies.

2022

Data Innovation Recognition

Acknowledged for developing novel alternative data signals that improve early detection of momentum strategy crowding and subsequent reversal risk.

2021

Open Science Contribution

Commended for making historical momentum crash datasets freely available to academic researchers and independent analysts worldwide.

How we think about research and its limits

Start a conversation

We welcome inquiries from researchers, practitioners, and journalists interested in momentum crash dynamics.


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